Flip Floppin’ Friday – Back Where We Started

Image result for monkey stock pickingWow, what a market!  

The Futures are up 10 points on the S&P, bringing us back to 2,142 at 7:30 (2,136 on the /ES futures) driven by nothing in particular other then Europe's relief that we rallied into the close so now they are rallying and our futures are rallying because Europe is rallying and if that sounds idiotic to you – welcome to trading!  It kind of sucks if you are one of those stock-holding traders waiting for your equities to appreciate but it's unbelievably fun when you play inside the channels.

We started out the day short (and our Live Webinar's short on the Dow ended up making $1,000 per contract) but by 11:30 we were done with that trade as I said to our Members in the Live Chat Room:

Truth or dare time with the EU closing in 10 mins.   They've recovered a bit into the close (down 1.25%) so no reason we should go lower now, especially with the Dollar at 97.63 but watch for the bounce off 97.50 as that could add more downward pressure. 

As you can see from the chart, we nailed the turn perfectly and, of course, we did a little bottom-fishing but not much as we really don't trust this low-volume rally (and pre-market is very low volume too) and we already took a stab at shorting the Nasdaq this morning that failed (-$50 per contract) and we also are, of course, back in to short oil at $51, which is the gift that keeps on giving this week.  Yesterday we hit $49.50 (up $1,000 per contract) before it turned back up!  

We're anxiously waiting for Fed Governor Rosengren to speak at 8:30 and the title of the conference is "The Elusive 'Great' Recovery: Causes and Implications for Future Business Cycle Dynamics" and, as if that isn't enough insure an empty room – I hear the bagels are also terrible.  Rosengren's boss is speaking at the same conference at 1:30 so it's unlikely he will make too strong a hawkish case ahead of Yellen's comments.…
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