Thursday Fun – Weak Bounces Boost Bullish Bets

Let's take about the 5% Rule™.

For details, you can read this post, but today we're going to focus on the very simple concept of bounce lines.  Under our 5% Rule™, we expect moves of 1.25%, 2.5% or 5% on major indexes to have 20% (of the move) corrections along the way, with a greater chance of a correction more likely as we cross each line of resistance.

It's the 5% Rule™ that led us to make a long call in yesterday's Live Trading Webinar, as we tested the -2.5% lines on our indexes EXACTLY WHERE WE PREDICTED THEY WOULD BE IN OUR MORNING POST (should be 2,047.50, not 1,947.50).

That's right, using our 5% Rule in the morning, I was able to say in our morning post at 8:33 am:

We have a PMI report at 9:45 and ISM Services at 10 along with Factory Orders and, at this point, expectations are low all around so we'll be looking for a bounce at Dow (/YM) 17,550, S&P (/ES) 2,040, Nasdaq 4,300 (/NQ) and Russell (/TF) 1,110 along with /NKD 15,900 but if any 2 are below (including whatever you are playing) – GET OUT! 

SPY 5 MINUTEThe S&P bottomed for the day at 2,039 at 2:05 pm and is already back to 2,055 for a $750 per contract gain in the /ES Futures.  In our Live Trading Webinar, we played the Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) over the 4,300 line and made a very quick $168.50 in 5 minutes and then we chose to play Gasoline Futures (/RB) and made a just as quick $580 after another 5 minutes of hard labor at our keyboards.  Making $748.50 in 10 minutes is good money so we took it and ran and went on with our Webinar at that point but the lines, like the song, remains the same – ready to be played any time we get a good test. 

This post isn't about showing you how to make money trading the Futures – we do that all the time in our Member Webinars (replays available here) and, of course, every day in our Live Member Chat Room.…
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