Which Way Wednesday – FOMC Edition

Image result for economy cliff cartoonWill the Fed save us or doom us? 

Forget the Fed, actually, let's talk about FedEx (FDX) and Micron (MU) both of whom are down 7.5% this morning as they are being shorted by the same algos and both of which are widely-held stocks that have their fingers on the pulse of the economy and both of which are warning us that the Global Economy is in arrest!  

Micron actually hit on earnings ($2.97 vs $2.95 expected) but missed on sales ($7.91Bn vs $8.01Bn expected) as tariffs have indeed weakened demand and the company warned that an escalation in tariffs from 10% to 25% would significantly impact them going forward.

FedEx, on the other hand, also beat on earnings ($4.03 vs $3.94 expected) and beat on revenues ($17.8Bn vs $17.69Bn expected) but issued a dire warning as they issued weak guidance and warned of the grim impact trade wars are having on the global economy, saying: "Global trade has slowed in recent months and leading indicators point to ongoing deceleration in global trade near-term."  Despite beating on both the top and bottom lines, shares fell after FedEx announced a cost-cutting initiative and lowered its full-year forecast on trade and tariff-related issues. The company now expects to earn between $15.50 and $16.50 per share in fiscal 2019, which is far below consensus estimates of $17.73 per share.

“While the U.S. economy remains solid, our international business weakened during the quarter, especially in Europe. We are taking action to mitigate the impact of this trend through new cost-reduction initiatives,” Frederick W. Smith, FedEx chairman and CEO said in a statement.

I just said yesterday morning that we should look for a lot of Corporate cost-cutting into 2019 that would indicate we are slowing down and usually it takes more than 24 hours for me to be proven right – but I'll take the "win", I guess…

Related imageI'm not happy about it, this means the damage is worse than expected already and the Fed really shouldn't be tightening this afternoon but they kind of have to tighten as rates are still
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