Which Way Wednesday – Waiting for Word from Yellen

Yawn!  

Not a very exciting market while we wait for Friday's Fed Speak but we have been amusing ourselves picking up some cheap positions – in case the free money train is going to keep on rolling.  The nice thing about sideline cash is you get to deploy it, which is so much more fun that being full of positions you're stuck with and praying they don't drop.  In addition to all those free trade ideas we gave you yesterday (and TOL is up over 10% since Monday's featured pick!), we added 3 more long trade ideas in yesterday's Live Member Chat Room, including IMAX, which spiked higher as we sent out our Top Trade Alert for that stock.  

Our shorting lines remain the same as yesterday and you have to be nible with those S&P (/ES) (SPY) contracts but the trading range allows for many opportunites to pick up $250-$500 pretty much every day though yesterday we firmed up on shorting the Russell (/TF) at 1,250, with tight stops above that line.  On the Russell, it's $100 per point per contract – so a little more aggressive.

 

We're doing a Live Trading Webinar today at 1pm, EST and we'll do a little Futures Training.  Oil should be in play today with inventories out at 10:30 but we already saw an API Report that indicates an unexpected (by economorons) 4Mb build and that should be good for those USO puts we told you about last week.  Keep in mind the reason for the build is mainly the 500Kb/d Exxon (XOM) refinery is off-line and 7 x 500,000 = 3.5M barrels that weren't refined – duh!  

Of more concern to the oil bulls is the ever-declining demand for gasoline, as evidenced by the EIA revising their gasoline consumption expectations from +4-5% in January to +1.5% in their July estimate and even that may be revised down as US consumption, according to our friends at CNBC, had missed 10Mb/d estimates by 200,000 (2%) all summer.  

Of course, those guys are full of crap and totally misleading you because US consumption is actually 8.1Mb/d so either CNBC and their analysts are incompetent…
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